Citing this article

A standard form of citation of this article is:

Bergman, Noam, Haxeltine, Alex, Whitmarsh, Lorraine, K&ouml;hler, Jonathan, Schilperoord, Michel and Rotmans, Jan (2008). 'Modelling Socio-Technical Transition Patterns and Pathways'. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 11(3)7 <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/3/7.html>.

The following can be copied and pasted into a Bibtex bibliography file, for use with the LaTeX text processor:

@article{bergman2008,
title = {Modelling Socio-Technical Transition Patterns and Pathways},
author = {Bergman, Noam and Haxeltine, Alex and Whitmarsh, Lorraine and K\"{o}hler, Jonathan and Schilperoord, Michel and Rotmans, Jan},
journal = {Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation},
ISSN = {1460-7425},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {7},
year = {2008},
URL = {http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/3/7.html},
keywords = {Complex Systems, Agent-Based Modelling, Social Simulation, Transitions, Transition Theory},
abstract = {We report on research that is developing a simulation model for assessing systemic innovations, or 'transitions', of societal systems towards a more sustainable development. Our overall aim is to outline design principles for models that can offer new insights into tackling persistent problems in large-scale systems, such as the European road transport system or the regional management of water resources. The systemic nature of these problems is associated with them being complex, uncertain and cutting across a number of sectors, and indicates a need for radical technological and behavioural solutions that address changes at the systems level rather than offering incremental changes within sub-systems. Model design is inspired by recent research into transitions, an emerging paradigm which provides a framework for tackling persistent problems. We use concepts from the literature on transitions to develop a prototype of a generic 'transition model'. Our prototype aims to capture different types of transition pathways, using historical examples such as the transition from horse-drawn carriages to cars or that from sailing ships to steam ships. The model combines agent-based modelling techniques and system dynamics, and includes interactions of individual agents and sub-systems, as well as cumulative effects on system structures. We show success in simulating different historical transition pathways by adapting the model's parameters and rules for each example. Finally, we discuss the improvements necessary for systematically exploring and detailing transition pathways in empirical case-study applications to current and future transitions such as the transition to a sustainable transport system in Europe.},
}

The following can be copied and pasted into a text file, which can then be imported into a reference database that supports imports using the RIS format, such as Reference Manager and EndNote.


TY - JOUR
TI - Modelling Socio-Technical Transition Patterns and Pathways
AU - Bergman, Noam
AU - Haxeltine, Alex
AU - Whitmarsh, Lorraine
AU - K&ouml;hler, Jonathan
AU - Schilperoord, Michel
AU - Rotmans, Jan
Y1 - 2008/06/30
JO - Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
SN - 1460-7425
VL - 11
IS - 3
SP - 7
UR - http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/3/7.html
KW - Complex Systems
KW - Agent-Based Modelling
KW - Social Simulation
KW - Transitions
KW - Transition Theory
N2 - We report on research that is developing a simulation model for assessing systemic innovations, or 'transitions', of societal systems towards a more sustainable development. Our overall aim is to outline design principles for models that can offer new insights into tackling persistent problems in large-scale systems, such as the European road transport system or the regional management of water resources. The systemic nature of these problems is associated with them being complex, uncertain and cutting across a number of sectors, and indicates a need for radical technological and behavioural solutions that address changes at the systems level rather than offering incremental changes within sub-systems. Model design is inspired by recent research into transitions, an emerging paradigm which provides a framework for tackling persistent problems. We use concepts from the literature on transitions to develop a prototype of a generic 'transition model'. Our prototype aims to capture different types of transition pathways, using historical examples such as the transition from horse-drawn carriages to cars or that from sailing ships to steam ships. The model combines agent-based modelling techniques and system dynamics, and includes interactions of individual agents and sub-systems, as well as cumulative effects on system structures. We show success in simulating different historical transition pathways by adapting the model's parameters and rules for each example. Finally, we discuss the improvements necessary for systematically exploring and detailing transition pathways in empirical case-study applications to current and future transitions such as the transition to a sustainable transport system in Europe.
ER -